February 2009

The Betfair Prof: "How modern-day sports forecasters stand on the shoulders of a medieval scholar!"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 23 February 2009 / Leave a comment

Want to know all about Occam's Razor and how it can be used to make money on sports? The Betfair Prof tells all......Read more »

Prediction Markets: Is it accuracy or efficiency that is most important when it comes to prediction markets?

Editor / 18 February 2009 / Leave a comment

One of the most influential bloggers on prediction markets thinks that the accuracy of prediction markets has been exaggerated in the past, and it is in fact efficiency that should be of more interest......Read more »

The Betfair Prof: "What does poker have in common with prediction markets - and tank driving?"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 16 February 2009 / Leave a comment

How does poker have anything to do with prediction markets? The Betfair Prof, Leighton Vaughan Williams, tells all......Read more »

The Betfair Prof: "Can the Super Bowl Predict the Stock Market?"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 09 February 2009 / Leave a comment

According to the conclusions of a paper by Professors Thomas Krueger and William Kennedy, published in the Journal of Finance in June of 1990, if the American football Super Bowl is won by a team from the old National Football League, then the stock market is very likely to finish...Read more »

The Betfair Prof: "Is there a favourite-longshot bias in no-limit Texas hold'em poker?"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 03 February 2009 / Leave a comment

The Betfair Prof takes a look at poker, odds, value, the right play and what this all means for the favourite-longshot bias......Read more »