June 2008

US Election Odds: The current mood of the swing states

Chicken Dinner / 27 June 2008 / Leave a comment

With five months to go before the election, the issues troubling Americans now may not be the most vexing come November. Nationally, the price of petrol, the collapse of the housing market and the war in Iraq are the biggest drivers of anxiety. Locally, heavy flooding in the Midwest and...Read more »

The Betfair Prof: "The Forecasters are meeting in Nice, and some are talking politics!"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 23 June 2008 / Leave a comment

The Betfair Prof, Leighton Vaughan Williams, tells us what insights prediction markets can offer about the electability of candidates......Read more »

Barack Obama Odds: What is Baracknophobia?

Mike Robb / 18 June 2008 / Leave a comment

John Stewart takes a look at Baracknophobia to provide us with some comic relief in what has been a fierce campaign so far......Read more »

The Betfair Prof: "There's value in them dodgy knees!"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 16 June 2008 / Leave a comment

The Betfair Prof, Leighton Vaughan Williams, tells us why uncertainty leads to over-reaction, meaning value, and why Tiger Woods has been great value both past and present......Read more »

US Politics - Obama vs McCain: The lull before the next lull.

Chicken Dinner / 12 June 2008 / 1 Comments

The phoney war continues as the battle to become the next US President nearly reaches tepid point....Read more »

The Betfair Contrarian: Why Barack Obama won't be the next US president

The Betfair Contrarian / 12 June 2008 / Leave a comment

The Contrarian tell us what the odds of Obama winning the Presidential election come November are too short at present, and why John McCain will be the next President of the United States......Read more »

Terrorism Bill Odds: Brown faces make-it-or-break-it moment on 42-days

Mike Robb / 10 June 2008 / Leave a comment

It's too close to call whether or not the Terrorism Bill will make it through the vote in the House of Commons tomorrow night, says Mike Robb...Read more »

Does John McCain stand any chance at all?

Chicken Dinner / 06 June 2008 / Leave a comment

Could the pensioner beat the new kid on the block?...Read more »

The Betfair Prof: "This is how Hillary lost the nomination!"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 06 June 2008 / Leave a comment

The Betfair Prof takes a look back at how the campaign was lost and how accurate the Betfair prediction market has been over the course of the campaign......Read more »

The Betfair Prof: "How do you solve a problem like Jodie?"

Leighton Vaughan Williams / 02 June 2008 / Leave a comment

The Betfair Prof, Leighton Vaughan Williams, takes a look at what prediction markets have done in terms of reality TV show. Most recently it was the BBC's 'I'd do Anything' in which Jodie Prenger beat perceived favourite Jessie Buckley on Saturday night......Read more »