Big Brother 11 / Chicken Dinner / 06 August 2008 /

Rachel has thrown down the dishcloth of rebellion, Lisa has been visited by Mario's ghost and Dale is about to exit Paradise Lost.

As falls from grace go, Dale's is up there with Lucifer, Jeffrey Archer, Jade Goody. Hence, he's set to go on Friday. He can thank the mean people in charge of the show for painting him as the world's biggest swine.

On entering the house, his introductory video was the most obnoxious ever, and by the time people had just about forgotten about it - just when Dale was climbing the ladder, looking a capable winner - Big Brother decided to show it again (this time to the housemates), smearing an almighty mess back onto the brain. His opening gambit has been his downfall.

Stuart [8.4] will, therefore, be safe. At just 25, he's becoming the father figure of the house. Both Darnell and Mikey are older, but their afflictions - Mikey's blindness, Darnell's Elephant Man complex - are holding them back. That opens the door for Stuart to be this year's third/fourth place "adult", a spot previously held by Richard (fourth, series seven), Dan (third, series five) and most famously, Dean (third, series two). Their survival is more the result of being an important calm head in the house, almost impossible to nominate. Being put up this week should prove just a blip on the bodybuilder's Big Brother experience.

Mikey [4.1] to win, Darnell [5].0 and Kat [5.6] remain the holy trinity at the top, so will be safe for the time being. But of the others, Mo [60.0], Rex [15.0] and his girlfriend, Nicole [100.00], should all start feeling a little bit edgy about the coming week or so. Mo is surely on borrowed time, he now passes the time oscillating between sleeping, smoking, or silently stuffing bits of bread into his mouth. As befits someone who's spent their life lurching between war zones, he will definitely lose Big Brother. His time is almost up.

As for the new house couple, Nicole's arrival has totally paralysed Rex's chances on the popularity ladder. His worth was as a sexy bastard alternative to Dale and Stuart, but watching him demand constant attention from a 19-year-old student would have shattered many of his voters' Rex-based sexual fantasies. Plus the pair wile away their time planting small kisses on one another, each one making a horrible wet squeaking noise like water torture. It's only a matter of time before someone explodes - our money's on Darnell.

One to watch is Lisa [24.0]. Totally underrated, she is a gift of a housemate - completely bonkers. So far she has explained how she once lifted up a stationary car and moved it, she's been visited by Mario's spirit, she shaves her face like a man, and wears the kind of outfits that even the most freezing cold plane crash survivors would refuse as too gaudy. She is worth keeping an eye on, because the more housemates that leave, the more her worth will rise. For now, she is the most interesting bet.

Sara [34.0] needs to tone down her flirting with Darnell, unless, of course, it's genuine. Kat [5.5] needs to liven up, and Rachel [6.6] is doing well. By standing up to Big Brother with the washing up - she said she'd do it, even if it meant risking "peril" - she's finally showing some personality. That said, when doing the washing up becomes an expression of rebellion, you know you're losing your edge. Won't win.

This week Chickendinner predicts: Dale to go, Darnell to win.

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