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Race for City Hall

It couldn't last - Boris snatches the foot-shooting gun from Ken

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It has taken a while, but Boris Johnson's gaffe generator is functioning again

Boris Johnson has enjoyed some success in recent weeks persuading the people of London that he really does have a serious side, but on Tuesday night the mask slipped and his inner buffoon slipped out again. Punters quickly trimmed the lead he currently holds over Ken Livingstone in the race to be next mayor of London, and you can now get Boris at 1.59 on Betfair. Ken Livingstone is currently available at 2.72.

His gaffe came at a question and answer session with a group gathered by the homeless charity Shelter. The first question, "How much is your house worth?" failed to set off the sophisticated alarm system that his handlers have tried to implant in his head, and off he went, boasting about "a big house in Islington which is worth shedloads of money." Some of the audience had been homeless for years.

The blunder is very much in keeping with Johnson's signature insult technique of adopting insensitive positions to the planet's less fortunate. Or those who are different. Or even just those who didn't go to Eton and Oxford. "What Johnson said is an insult to the homeless. You should not show off about how lucky you are in front of people who are struggling," said one charity worker.

Newspaper reports this week have claimed that Boris Johnson's campaign team, led by fearsome Australian veteran Lynton Crosby, have been muzzling their client, such is their fear of his ability to generate negative press. His campaign team has denied this. While not serious enough to cause major damage to his campaign, it will be added to the extensive record of Johnsonian insults that the press trots out almost daily as evidence of his error-prone style, and by extension, unsuitability for office.

A poll in the Guardian this morning brought further news of a mildly vexing nature. "Johnson v Livingstone: it's now on a knife edge," screamed their front page headline. A Guardian/ICM poll has Boris in the lead, but only by two points (51%-49%) once second preference votes have been factored in, a far narrower lead than Evening Standard polls over the last couple of weeks have suggested. This means that the winner is likely to be determined by the second choice votes of the minor parties, including the Lib Dems, the Greens, the BNP (who yesterday urged its followers to give their second vote to "the Tory clown Johnson") and a raft of other deluded egomaniacs.

The poll also reveals that while Livingstone leads on policy, only 28 per cent of voters believe him to be the most honest candidate. Johnson enjoys significantly more support from men than women, while Livingstone leads 46% to 35% as the most likely to understand the needs of Londoners. Further confirmation then, that Boris has yet to be taken seriously.

Hyde Park Corner

Vote for Boris but back Ken - then it's a win win situation!

1 May 2008

We've forgotten the weather here - it's going to be a massive factor. Just seen the forecast and it's rain all the way. How many of the 'Can't Be Arsed' brigade will that keep indoors? I reckon plenty and that means BoJo voters will not be out in strength. Ken is still in it and I've had a nibble at 3.2 - ridiculous odds given his winning record.

29 April 2008

Brian Paddick holds the key to this election. Good Old Bri is no politcian but who will his loyal (and blimey they'd have to be loyal!)supporters give their second preference votes to? I reckon it will be to Boris - Lib Dems, bless 'em all, seem to vote on principles for some reason and I think Ken has too many skeletons in his closet to be a consideration. So get on Boris.

29 April 2008

Boris is on the charge - 1.46 now. Can anything stop him? Maybe worth a lay on Thursday morning if he is sub-1.4 ahead of exit poll favourables for Ken?

29 April 2008

Ken is a sleazed-up waste of time. We need a change and a new direction, and although Boris wouldn't be my number one choice to carry the torch anew he'll have to do. I am so much more optimistic about Mayor Johnson than I am about the current joke - the only thing Ken should be an incumbent of is prison.

29 April 2008

As long as he brings free food he's always welcome in Lambeth...

29 April 2008

What's that saying? Beware of Greeks bearing gifts? I don't know whether that applies to MPs from Henley offering doughnuts but bloody hell - beware, beware, beware!! Come on, London - wake up! Boris is still 1.6. If he wins, I'm leaving - will the last one out , please turn off the lights!

28 April 2008

Boris is making the mistakes but Ken isn't capitalising yet. Is it because his current abode is made of too much glass? This election looks like a Boris win simply because Ken isn't getting fired up about it and people just can't bothered. I think the market's about right - low voter turnout and a Boris win (may the Good Lord help us all!).

25 April 2008

Dear Ken - where is the rabbit that you were going to pull out of the hat? Do it now before this buffoon does the unthinkable!!
I still think Boris is a lay - 1.6 is great value at this point because it's going to be close...

22 April 2008

2.8 is a massive price on Ken. Steam in before it's all gobbled up!

21 April 2008

I love the picture on this story. Ken looks a bit careworn and clueless (as he has done all the way through his campaign) but Boris has clearly been told: "The easiest way to keep your foot out of your mouth is to stuff your thumb in there instead"
To which Boris replied: "Yah, that's a great idea Mr Nameless-Advisor. I say, you don't know my old Nanny do you? She used to say something similar."

18 April 2008

"Ken has to keep sleaze on the outside"... Likely?!

18 April 2008

I don't think Boris can hold back much longer - he's said nothing, nadda, nowt. This last two weeks will definitely see him break rank, surely? Ken lies in wait. Lay Boris asap.

17 April 2008

oh dear not a good performance from Boris last night. ken is coming back. get on!!

16 April 2008

Is it really a good time to be laying Ken? Surely it's still too risky. Perhaps the overall feeling - excusing the cliche - is that it is just time for change, and what exactly that change is doesn't matter.

Saying that, having Mayor Johnson on the same platform as Mayor Bloomberg does scare me somewhat!

15 April 2008

Boris offers something completely different to Ken, and is not just some 'novelty factor' as you describe. True, he will have to do something, but if you look at half of what Ken has 'done' over the last term I'd rather it be Boris ballsing it up than him. Alas, maybe he'll even be bold?

Agree I'd get the money on Ken at the moment though as these odds will be evens again before too long.

14 April 2008

Everybody knows that Boris has the novelty factor. He's the quirky, dinner party option - "Boris is a breath of fresh air!" they shout - but when push comes to shove he's actually going to have to DO something and that we all know would be a disaster.

So I'd get my money on Ken - or at the odds currently offered, lay Boris - because Bozzer isn't going to be out front for much longer.

14 April 2008

Boris for Mayor!!

14 April 2008

Ken will win this, surely? Who is ACTUALLY going to vote for Boris? Ken might be a bit creepy and even a bit dodgy, but Boris...?! No.

11 April 2008

Love Ken's rant there, though to be fair he probably had a fair point. Those idiots at the GLA have been so spiteful about the whole thing. Frankly, they're as bad as each other and a bad representation of London and of what Londoners want.

Who to vote for? God knows.

11 April 2008

Wet cement or not, Ken is on the charge! He's come in to 7-4 from 9-4 today and Boris is drifting - now 4-7. Never doubted it would happen, London will finally come to its senses I reckon.

That Newsnight debate was a bit shambolic for everyone but Ken - Boris mumbled and couldn't come up with any real facts (he's not a bad performance though) while Paddick was hopeless. Ken was just solid, nothing spectacular, but then he's the one there to be shot at so pretty good overall.

9 April 2008

We all know the Olympics are going to cost a fortune - so what? It's going to be a great event and Londoners shouyld be glad we've got it. I don't hear Boris piping up and saying we shouldn't have the Olympics - why? Because we all want it, no matter how much a vocal few shout and moan. Boris couldn't organise his way out of a paper bag - the only reasonable choice, Olympics or otherwise, is Ken (even if he's about as active in this election as a bag of wet cement).

9 April 2008

I knew it - Ken's employing computer hackers!! I think we've got him running scared.

But blimey! Is that the best he's got?!?! What about policies, Kenneth? What about reaching out to Londoners and offering them something new?

The answer is KL is MIA or AWOL, or maybe he's just filling his face at KFC!! Whatever the case, Boris has got this sewn up.

8 April 2008

Shouldn't the title of 'most-hard-done-by' go to the London public for having two sub-standard excuses for human beings to choose from to be their Mayor?!

8 April 2008

The latest debate was last night on Newsnight: http://news.bbc.co.uk/player/nol/newsid_4670000/newsid_4679900/4679986.stm?bw=bb&mp=wm&news=1&bbcws=1

9 April 2008

I think there is a TV debate planned for the 21st on ITV - will Ken even bother to turn out?? It seems he's given up and allowing the blonde 'headed' one a free run at it. C'mon Ken, you can do better than this current lily-livered effort!

8 April 2008

Is there not a telvised debate planned sometime in the next few weeks? If not I'd be shocked and, frankly, disappointed. How are Londoners like myself supposed to make their decisions when all we hear about are the individual candidates making a mess of themselves? When are we going to hear about the issues?

Frankly I'd rather not have any of them.

8 April 2008

Congestion charge... 20mph speed limits... What next? Square wheels?

7 April 2008

Boris will surely make many more blunders before the campaign is over, whether or not Labour start to take him seriously. It should certainly get interesting nearer the time but at [1.5] he is miles too short for me, a lay if anything.

7 April 2008

Is Ken's 'secrets' closet now empty? I'm amazed he's managed to keep that under wraps for so long - will he be coming out with the 'Vote Ken - it's not for me, it's for the children' line? Surely he needs this job more than Boris now?

7 April 2008

Damn right, vote Boris!!

10 April 2008

Finally Ken can stop doing the hard work for Boris by shooting HIMSELF in the foot

7 April 2008

Describing Ken Livingstone as "a maverick craftsman of social policy" makes me want to barf

7 April 2008

Links

Voter Test - don't know who to vote for or bet on? This will help you decide by aligning your views with a candidate.

Mayoral Debate - Newsnight 08/04/2008

BBC - London Mayoral Election homepage

Evening Standard - London Mayoral Election homepage

London Elects - A complete guide to the election

UK Polling Report - For the latest polls on the election

Ken Livingstone - Official campaign website

Boris Johnson - Official campaign website

Brian Paddick - Official campaign website

Boris Watch

REGISTER TO VOTE - Informaion on how to go about it

Dates

2nd May - Election count and results announced

1st May - Election day, voters go to the polls (having placed their bets on Betfair!)

23rd April - Last day for proxy vote applications

16th April - Last day for voter registration and postal vote applications

28th March - Deadline for candidates' nominations

How it works

Voting takes place on 1st May and the counting is the following day. The supplementary vote system is used for the Mayoral Election, so it is different from the normal general election voting system most of us are used to.

Under this system voters express their first choice candidate and then a second choice. To win, any candidate needs to receive over 50% of the vote.

If no candidate receives 50% of first choice votes, the top two candidates go to a second round. Voters whose first choice has been eliminated but whose second choice is one of the top two candidates will have their second preference vote added to the first-round totals.

This gives a result whereby the winning candidate has the support of the majority. For more information on the way the Mayor is elected click here.