Dominic Beirne: Black Caviar won't fail at 1400

Australia / Editor / 10 February 2012 / Leave a Comment

The flags will be out for Black Caviar on Saturday

“begin with the presumption that the champion mare will win and focus on the race for second and third.”

Australia's most revered form student Dominic Beirne has renewed his popular association with Betfair in time for Saturday's C.F. Orr Stakes at Caulfield, and is unsurprisingly predicting Black Caviar to cruise to a comfortable victory at her first attempt at 1400 metres.

In his weekend form assessment compiled exclusively for Betfair punters, Dominic suggests the best way to profit from the Orr Stakes is to "begin with the presumption that the champion mare will win and focus on the race for second and third."

"The race for second placing looks very likely to go to Southern Speed, who is assessed at $1.40 to run second," Beirne reveals.

"She's a group one winner, has won her past two at the track and won last start at the track and distance."

Dominic believes the fight for third is far more open with Danzylum a leading contender by virtue of the fact that his "last seven wins have all been at 1400 metres."

Sydney race goers will be consumed by their form guides today in preparation for an 11 race card at Rosehill, highlighted by the group two Expressway Stakes.

Brilliant sprinter Rain Affair is the hot favourite at $1.77 on Betfair, and Beirne believes the odds-on quote is justified at the four-year-old's first tilt at group two level.

"Rain Affair meets a very strong field, however nearly all runners are either first up from a spell or forced to concede a large start.

"The forecast rating for Rain Affair is actually slightly above the group two WFA standard and given those circumstances I think this potential rating will be good enough to win," Beirne concludes.

Beirne's exclusive Betfair analysis will stretch far and wide this autumn in the search for value and tomorrow Dominic's 'best exotic' bet is at Ascot in Western Australia.

Dominic's complete form analysis for Saturday's feature races is available HERE.