Robin Keck's Stable Form: Fourteen weddings and no funeral

Betting Strategy / Robin Keck / 28 July 2009 / Leave a Comment

"Richard Fahey personifies this column's theory that stable form isn't adequately reflected in a horse’s price and is still firing in double figure priced winners all over the land. I’m going to admit defeat and have all of his animals onside going forward."

Robin calls it right at Epsom but isn't on board to reap the rewards. Meanwhile, its time to surrender to a trainer who just won't die...

Modesty has never been my strong suit so forgive me for reminding readers of my recent assertion that Richard Ford's Inspirana would "...oblige again..." once back over a mile-and-a-half.

He did just that at Epsom this week and to make it a little sweeter the post race pundits felt he'd benefited from a well judged Richard Hughes ride that had caught the others napping. That may be true in this slowly run race but I believe this horse isn't suited by being raced prominently and will do even better being held up in a stronger paced race next time. He won't be a massive price but I expect the market to underestimate the Epsom win and send him off too big.

This column didn't benefit however as I'd finally dropped Richard Ford's stable as my increasingly poor timing on hiring/firing continued. It's slightly worrying as my main job is a Headhunter in the City...maybe that's why the City is in such a mess (well hopefully only part of the reason).

It's at this point I have to finally discuss the subject of Richard Fahey's 2009 season. I've ignored him throughout as "if you've missed the wedding, don't go to the funeral" but having missed around 14 weddings I'm wondering if there is ever going to be a funeral. His season has stepped up incrementally on an almost weekly basis. He seems to personify this column's basic theory that stable form isn't adequately reflected in a horse's price and is still firing in double figure priced winners all over the land. I'm going to admit defeat and have all of his animals onside going forward.

Andrew Haynes good form continued last week and I'll leave his stable on the hot list but Willie Muir's 14 runners did £70 damage to my pot and he's off. On the cold side I'll keep Luca Cumani and Stuart Williams whose horses are still going off too short and don't seem to be quite firing. David Simcock and Paul Green and below the radar trainers whose horses are running well and can join the hot list and I'll bring David Pipe back on as I was too hasty dropping him a couple of weeks ago.

Total Starting Bank = £250.00
Closing Bank after Week Eight = £288.42
Week Nine Result = - £46.10
Closing Bank = £242.32

I plan to make my serious progress towards my £1,000 target by laying cold trainers in the jumps season but I want my pot to reach £500 by mid September. Trust me...I will make it.