Timeform Radio Racing Tips: Flying the flag at Hereford
Timeform Radio Tip
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Jeremy Grayson /
07 November 2010 /
Will Jeremy's selections come in at Hereford?
In amongst the flotsam and jetsam, one with much better prospects than first appears is Flag Flier... "
Jeremy Grayson selects a pair of exciting Sunday afternoon bets, one of them at double digit odds...
This afternoon's card at Hereford is longer on quantity than quality overall, with the exception of two novice hurdles that at this stage at least look like they could both potentially throw up a stack of future winners.
Most of the main protagonists in the opening 2m6f contest (13:00) have been sourced from the Irish pointing field, and at the time of writing one of those, Forlovenormoney, is a clear favourite ahead of his debut for Paul Nicholls and John Hales. There's little to crab about the win on his one start between the flags (over The Minack, subsequently rated 143 over hurdles for Nicholls) other than it came all of 18 months ago, but form-wise it falls some way short of Iron Chancellor's achievements in running up a double in the same sphere more recently.
The latter's particularly impressive success in a winner-of-one at Cloyne in March - with other burgeoning bumper and hurdling talents such as Merry In Moscow and Gurtacrue in behind - came on ground little different from that anticipated at Hereford today, offering hope that this is one son of Alderbrook for whom flying mud is not an absolute prerequisite. At the comparative prices I'm happy to take on the favourite with him.
In stark contrast to the promising newcomers in the opener, the following 0-85 marathon handicap hurdle (13:30) is as weak a contest as you'll see all afternoon. In amongst the flotsam and jetsam, however, one with much better prospects than first appears is Flag Flier, second in a stronger renewal of this race last year when running into a Jim Best handicap blot.
Running off effectively the same mark today (Nathan Sweeney claims 7lb rather than 10lb, but the mare is 3lb lower than in 2009), she has not seen a sharp, flat right-hand track since producing the three best performances of her life over them around this time last year (two off higher marks); and with none of the market leaders offering bombproof credentials this looks like her best opportunity yet to record a first career win at possible double-digit odds.
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