Stable Form: Who's hot and who's cold for Robin Keck this week?

Tipping / Robin Keck / 20 May 2009 / Leave a Comment

Robin's betting is largely based on the wider form of a stable so which handlers are fancied and which will be taken on in the next seven days?

It's not been an amazing week from a stable form perspective with none of the stables of the Goldilocks seat size (not too big, not too small) really flying or crashing.

Let's kick off with a quick analysis of last week's suggested 'Colds'. My strategy is generally to blindly lay the 'Colds' for a place. All the form reasons for it to be placed will usually be factored into the price so I'm not overly concerned if the horse is very consistent and appears to be a solid place back proposition.

Keith Reveley had five runners which were all unplaced but before I crow I have to admit that four of these were at unlayably (new word) big prices so only the 5/1 priced 'Classical Son' (pulled up in a bumper) was really there to take on.

David Barker didn't do much better with only one placed runner from five (although it did win at 12-1 highlighting the need to only lay in the place market). Despite a marginally profitable week laying his horses I'm frightened by the winner and will keep a close eye on them suddenly flipping to 'Hot' over the coming weeks. He's sacked from the Cold list anyway.

Walter Swinburn had the 'potential cold' list all to himself last week but he's for the Spanish archer as four of his 13 runners were placed (albeit no winners). Sorry Walter but that's not nearly cold enough and you're jilted.

Looking at next week, I have an eye on Tim Easterby who seems to be finally hitting form with 22-1, 9-1 and 3-1 winners last week. Tom Tate is also moving through the gears with two winners and two near misses (latter horses priced at 25-1 and 16-1). Anne Duffield, Ian Williams, James Given and Jonjo O'Neill also catch the eye but I'll hold fire with them until I see more consistent good form (perhaps I'll miss the party but that's life).

Despite an easy flat winner in Kayf Aramis I'm definitely taking on Venetia Williams's jumps horses. They appear to have had enough although I haven't forgotten losing a bundle on Pterodactyl at Towcester earlier this year when she was in terrible form so I'm treading carefully.

I'm also laying Brian Meehan's runners although I got a bit cheeky this week laying his 1.05 for a place Radiohead at Bath who disappointed optimistic layers by winning on the bridle. That's his only winner in the last week out of 14 runners and he only had one other horse making the frame (beaten seven lengths over 6f) despite five horses going off at 7-2 or shorter. It's too early to be sure that it isn't the usual statistical ups and downs but I'll be taking them on until I'm proved otherwise.

Good luck to all this week but do please add your thoughts below if you agree/disagree.