Follow The Money: Fontwell fancies and a Lingfield lay

Follow the Money / Follow The Money / 07 March 2012 /

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Can we find two winners and a losing lay?

"Although a fair amount has to be taken on trust Puffin Billy is well-related and hails from the Oliver Sherwood yard, who are profitable to follow in bumpers."

Today's Follow The Money comes from the meetings at Lingfield and Fontwell.

We start at Lingfield where Thundering Home has been on the drift all morning in the 1m4f Claiming Stakes at 14:40, out to [4.9] from [3.25]. Although a winner over the distance last time out, the five-year-old faces a couple of rivals better off on official ratings today, with the Luke Morris-trained Country Road looking particularly well-fancied. The lack of support suggests he will fail to follow up.

We go to Fontwell for our first back where Sea Saffron has supported all the way down from [18.5] in to a current [7.2] in the 2m6f Handicap Chase at 16:30. At first glance this veteran chaser doesn't appear an obvious choice, having been well beaten in his last three starts. However he's been dropped 9lb since his last run, has the assistance of top conditional Brendan Powell in the saddle and is trained by the in-form Susan Gardner, who has two winners and a second from her last four runners. The positive move suggests a return to form is expected.

We stay at the figure-of-eight track for our last selection where there has been significant looking support for the unraced Puffin Billy in the bumper at 17:00, now trading at [2.8] from an early [4.6]. Although a fair amount has to be taken on trust the four-year-old is well-related and hails from the Oliver Sherwood yard, who are profitable to follow in these types of races. The punters appear to be confident he can outwit some more experienced rivals.

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