Tipping / Paul Jacobs / 12 October 2009 /

Wondering who to back at Newmarket this Saturday? Brondesbury has run through the Cesarewitch odds to bring you these selections...

The Cesarewitch Handicap is one of the most vibrant ante-post markets in the Flat season, which seems rather strange to me when you consider so much hinders on the draw which is made 48 hours before the race.

High drawn horses have an unquestioned advantage in Saturday's two-and-a-quarter mile marathon, but it does not mean that anything drawn 15 or lower is totally out of the equation, cue Caracciola, last year's winner drawn in 11 and Al Eile fourth from the four box in 2007.

However, the golden rule is that the higher the draw the less ground you have to cover and common sense prevails, the more chance you have of winning.

The only situation where that changes is when the ground turns soft and the field either split or come closer to the stands' side rail up the home stretch, so all those points are worth bearing in mind when preparing for an ante-post wager.

The advice is to maybe play a significant percentage of your money after the draw, but with a small amount before the balls come out of the hat hoping that lady luck is on your side and therefore gaining a significantly better price.

So with those points in mind here is my idea of the horses to consider at this stage.

Having interviewed Richard Hills on Timeform Radio and seen the horse in the flesh I am convinced that we need to have Aajel in our staking plan at this stage whatever the draw.

Hills recently suggested to me that the lightly raced four-year-old was a Cup horse in the making and that of all his mounts for the Champions meeting this was one of his most exciting ones.

Due to injury and niggling setbacks, the son of Aljabr has only raced six times in his career to date looking better the further he's gone and he dismissed some useful yardsticks with disdain at Yarmouth on his comeback.

A minor injury has kept him off the track for a while, but he is reported in good shape at home and despite his experience he must be a player at around [18.0] on Betfair.

The current favourite is Darley Sun and quite rightly so as David Simcock's three-year-old has made giant strides this season. Ever since he has been given a thorough test of stamina the son of Tiger Hill has made massive strides culminating in a cracking second to Askar Tau in the Doncaster Cup. A price of [7.0] probably underestimates his chance, could go off as low as [4.0] granted a good draw, he is 8lbs clear on my ratings with the promise of more to come.

However, with all the fancy prices a distant memory it is worth chancing that he gets a low box and only worth a saver on your other selections if he is drawn high.

Swingkeel ([14.0]) is surely a horse to have on your side especially if they go a manic gallop as he is arguably the strongest stayer in the line up.

His finishing effort from an uncompromising position in the Goodwood Stakes was a sign post to his bottomless stamina, should reverse form with Sweetheart, and he can be forgiven his run behind Electrolyser at Ascot where the winner dictated from the front before quickening clear.

Of the remainder, the likes of Al Eile ([25.0]) has a good record in this race and would be very interesting granted fast ground and a good draw, Woolfall Treasure ([30.0]) is consistent and stays well, while at a bigger price the handicapper has finally granted some slack to Highland Legacy ([60.0]).

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