Hennessy Gold Cup Odds and Ratings: Denman trades at over 5 on Betfair

Events / Tony Calvin / 27 November 2009 / Leave a Comment

“Interestingly, another previous winner, State Of Play, also appeals as well-treated as he bids to repeat his 2006 victory. Second-season chaser Gone To Lunch is the other contender who looks on a fair mark, judged on his Scottish National second last term” - Timeform's Kieran Packman.

Career best is needed for Paul Nicholls' 2008 Cheltenham Gold Cup winner to land the Hennessy

Denman trades at [5.2] on Betfair for the Hennessy - but Timeform believe that he may have to run a career best to win at Newbury tomorrow.

The 2008 Gold Cup winner ran to a mark of 176p when winning this race two years ago, and only the mighty Burrough Hill Lad has surpassed that Hennessy effort in recent decades.

But even a repeat of that win, or his Cheltenham victory, could still see him struggle to justify favouritism tomorrow.

Kieran Packman, Timeform's Communications Manager, commented "Since the days of Arkle, only Burrough Hill Lad's performance in 1984 would surpass Denman's effort in winning the Hennessy so authoritatively from an official mark of 161 two years ago.

"As far as we're concerned, he'll need to run to a similar level (which was close in ratings terms to his Gold Cup victory) if he's to defy a 13lb higher mark this time around.

"Interestingly, another previous winner, State Of Play, also appeals as well-treated as he bids to repeat his 2006 victory. Second-season chaser Gone To Lunch is the other contender who looks on a fair mark, judged on his Scottish National second last term."


Timeform Weight-Adjusted Ratings

State of Play 188
Gone To Lunch 188
Casey Jones 187
Denman 184+
Offshore Account 184
Snowy Morning 184
Joe Lively 184
Chelsea Harbour 183x
What A Friend 182+
Barbers Shop 182+
Niche Market 182
Nenuphar Collonges 181
Mon Mome 181
My Will 180+
War of Attrition 180
Ballyfitz 179
Killyglen 178
Cappa Bleu 174p
Kornati Kid 168p
New Alco ?
An Accordion ?

Hennessy Winners - Post-race Timeform Ratings
Madison Du Berlais 160
Denman 176p
State Of Play 160+
Trabolgan 167
Celestial Gold 154p
Strong Flow 154P
Be My Royal 144
What's Up Boys 155
King's Road 156p
Ever Blessed 148p
Teeton Mill 158p
Suny Bay 170p
Coome Hill 148p
Couldnt Be Better 157p
One Man 143P