US Masters Switcher:
Paul Krishnamurty tipped a perfect four winners from four bets on yesterday's 2-balls and his in-running book is looking pretty tasty too. Read his thoughts on the final day at Augusta here...
Most golf fans and pundits will remember yesterday for the furore concerning Tiger Woods, but I must admit, the only thing on my mind was punting! Four out of four 2-ball winners made for a great 'Moving Day' and with three of my four in-play picks inside the top-six, Sunday has plenty of potential. If you've followed my in-running advice to the letter, scroll down to the bottom of the page for updated trading instructions.
Easily my best result is Angel Cabrera, tipped pre-tournament at 150.0149/1 and yesterday at 32.031/1, who shares the final day lead with Brandt Snedeker. Adam Scott sits one shot back, while Matt Kuchar is three off the pace and very much still alive. In addition to that quartet, Jason Day, Marc Leishman and Tiger Woods are still bang in the hunt, but I think the rest have too much to do.
For those starting a book from scratch, Cabrera and Kuchar are in my view the standout value. As players who, while greatly respected, have failed to deliver when contending at past majors, Snedeker and Scott are plenty short enough at current odds. Tiger is feared as he's playing superbly well and four shots is nothing on a dramatic final day. However I see no reason to lose faith with Cabrera, for whom neither the course or experience holds any terrors. Unlike his nearest challengers, he's won major titles and seemed to thrive on the experience again yesterday.
Kuchar stands out as an obvious back-to-lay at 16.015/1. He traded as favourite during the final round 12 months ago and must fancy his chances of getting in amongst the action again. Like Tiger, he's certainly close enough if good enough. Today's advice, therefore, is to stake 8 units on Kuchar at 16.015/1, then place a lay order for 20 units at 5.04/1, which would guarantee at least 12 units profit.
After last year's third place, Peter Hanson's Masters campaign has been bitterly disappointing but I can see him battling on for a respectable finish. His consistent record owes much to an ability to keep moving forward when all seems lost, as illustrated last week with a final round 66 in Texas. Today's opponent Carl Pettersson clearly does not like this place, registering one single round of level par in 12 attempts.
Sunday at a major is always a time of regret for some top stars languishing down the field, reflecting on opportunities lost. So it may be for Dustin Johnson, who had a chance to get to double figures under par on Friday afternoon. The fact he's fallen away confirms my suspicion that Dustin doesn't have the skills yet to cope with a drying out Augusta so I can see a further struggle today against an opponent who can always be relied upon to fight hard for every shot.
Back Bo Van Pelt to beat Sergio Garcia 5u @ 2.3611/8
Speaking of stars whose heads can go down, the final day nap must involve taking on Sergio. He hasn't registered a top-20 at Augusta for nine years, tending to fall away as conditions get harder over the weekend. In stark contrast, two top-20s from three tries is a fine start to BVP's Masters career, and scores of 70 and 64 in those final rounds is a further tip.
The pressure on tonight's final groups will be immense and, on the basis of past experiences, that makes Cabrera a must-bet as the clear outsider of two. Whereas Angel has won two major titles, Snedeker folded in the final group here five years ago and didn't cope well in contention at last year's Open.
Updated trading advice (only for readers already following in-running portfolio)
Back 8u Matt Kuchar @ 14.5n/a
Back 7u Adam Scott @ 17.5n/a
Back Angel Cabrera 5u @ 32.031/1, Laid Back 15u @ 8.07/1, securing 10u profit.
Place order to lay Adam Scott 20u @ 4.57/2
Place order to lay Matt Kuchar 20u @ 4.57/2