US Masters Tips: Henrik or Edoardo can be king of Europe
US Masters
/
Paul Krishnamurty /
03 April 2012 /
Is Stenson on his way back?
"A top-15 finish may well be enough to win this market."
A pair of weak favourites head the betting for the top Continental European performer at this year's Masters, says Paul Krishnamurty, and that makes for good value down the field
A solid strategy for finding value in speciality markets is locating the one including weak links, and this 15-runner contest very much fits that bill. The two favourites have appalling recent records at Augusta - Sergio Garcia failing to better 35th since 2004, Martin Kaymer missing all three cuts. The number of realistic winners can also be reduced by discounting old-timers Jose-Maria Olazabal and Bernhard Langer, weak-putting debutant Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano and three-time cut failure Anders Hansen.
Even otherwise strong candidates like Robert Karlsson, Alvaro Quiros and Fredrik Jacobson are out of form. Consequently, a top-15 finish may well be enough to win this market.
Two players in good form at decent odds stand out. Henrik Stenson is a class act on the way back from the Doldrums on the basis of five straight top-25s.
Edoardo Molinari is also in good nick, finishing top-11 on his last two starts and after last year's 11th place, we know he likes Augusta. The Italian's strength is his short game, so expect him to build a decent Masters portfolio throughout his career.
Recommended Bets
2u Henrik Stenson @ [12.5]
2u Edoardo Molinari @ [17.0]