Golf

Volvo World Match Play Odds: Where's the value in the winner's market?

Golf Bets RSS / / 28 October 2009 / Leave a Comment

Free Bet
020 Golf Bets

"Every player must complete a full 54 holes over Thursday and Friday, ahead of 36-hole matches for the semi-finals and final. Needless to say, this is a gruelling schedule, and anything but ideal for players returning from, or carrying an injury."

There's a revised format to the 'new' World Match Play and it won't benefit any players carrying injuries. With that in mind, Paul Krishnamurty has a view on two players who could oblige at attractive odds

As part of the new Race to Dubai schedule that is transforming the European Tour scene, this long standing autumn fixture takes on a very different look. Wentworth, scene of so many classic matches down the years, is replaced as host by a new Spanish venue, Finca Cortesin, and we also have a radically altered format.

Rather than the old 16-runner knockout event, played over four rounds, the same number of players are now placed in groups of four to be decided on a round-robin basis. The winner of each group will then progress to the semi-finals. In a slightly bizarre twist, rather than matches reaching their natural conclusion when the leader is ahead by more holes than there are remaining, each match must be played over the full 18 holes.

So basically, every player must complete a full 54 holes over Thursday and Friday, ahead of 36-hole matches for the semi-finals and final.

Needless to say, this is a gruelling schedule, and anything but ideal for players returning from, or carrying an injury. Three players spring to mind in this regard. Paul Casey, who hasn't played since the beginning of August; Martin Kaymer, who only returned from a broken foot last week; plus Jeev Milkha-Singh, who is carrying a foot injury.

It will take a herculean effort for any of them to win via this schedule, and it should pay to oppose them at some stage. Indeed, the best opening value in the outright market could lie in effectively opposing Casey with a combined trade on his two main Group A opponents, Retief Goosen and Anthony Kim.

The fourth member of their group is rank outsider Scott Strange, who looks out of his depth. Unless Strange pulls off a shock, or Casey produces a heroic comeback, (the latter isn't completely impossible, even if unlikely), one of Goosen and Kim will reach the semi-finals. A combined bet on both pays around [7.4], and if one of them does win the group and progresses, they will trade considerably shorter than that, perhaps below [4.0] depending who else is in the semi-final line-up.

Selections: Back Retief Goosen @ [13.5]; Back Anthony Kim @ [16.5]

Read More Golf

Golf Betting: Rory and Tiger's odds are simply too short

Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods will have an army of followers this week, in the Betfair markets that is, but Paul Krishnamurty believes both are worth taking on at their current short odds....

Commercialbank Qatar Masters: Back Kaymer for day one win

Dan Geraghty is hoping for better luck with his three-ball tips, making four selections for the opening day action at the Commercialbank Qatar Masters...

Find Me a 100 Winner: Don't let Danny's huge price go to Waste

Danny Lee is a massive [350.0] and Ryan Palmer a chunky [160.0] to win the Waste Management Phoenix Open at Scottsdale but this pair of birdie machines could kickstart their seasons on a course that looks to provide an ideal...

Golf Betting: Markets are over-reacting to early season form

Beware early-season judgements and punish over-reacting layers is Paul Krishnamurty's message this week, noting huge prices available on two huge talents - Jason Day and Gary Woodland - either side of the Atlantic...

Post a comment

Free £20 Bet + Up to £1,000 Cashback

Join Today
How to claim your £20 Free Bet + £1,000 Cashback offer
  1. Open your account (3 mins)
  2. Make a deposit into your account and place a bet on your selection (minimum £20)
  3. Should your selection lose we'll refund your bet + get cashback on your betting for your first 30 days up to £1,000
  4.   £20 Free Bet + £1,000 Cashback, Join Today

Get a $50-$2500 Poker Bonus

Play Now

Choose and earn a $50, $250, $500, $1000 or $2500 poker sign up bonus. Turn Loyalty Into Cash and earn up to 40% Valueback in the Players Club.

Join Betfair Poker Now.

£200 Casino Bonus

Play Now

100% deposit bonus up to £100 for all new casino players. Just join and play to claim.

Join Today. Click here to claim your £200 Casino Bonus

Refer a Friend

START REFERRING

Each friend you introduce to betfair can earn you between £25 and £50.

Refer and Earn Today

© Betfair 2007–11 | Contact Betting.Betfair team on: haveyoursay@betfair.com

Proud to back    

Betfair UK | Australia | Online sázení | Betfair Danmark | Wetten | στοιχήματα | Apuestas | Fogadas | Ireland | Scommesse | Norge | Онлайн ставки | Kladjenje | Vedonlyönti | Apostas | Zakłady | Vadhållning | >网上投注 | Betfair Corporate | Betting Education