Non-league / Gary Boswell / 12 November 2009 /

The Boz selects the best bets from this weekend's Blue Square Premier action to come up with a Betair Multiple...

Northwich Victoria's heroic cup exploits halted an agonising ten tip losing streak for The Boz - the worst I've endured as a professional - but the fact that [15.0] was matched in play and the worst you'll have got is the [9.0] pre match price I flagged up, means a lot of the season's woe is wiped out in one go!

And so I stride into this weekend with renewed confidence and vigour and have donned my best designer headwear to come up with a BSP treble that I'm recommending staking as a Betfair multiple.

The rationale for the treble is the meltdown factor that many non-league clubs are wrestling with this season and which has blighted a clutch with fresh impetus these past 10 days or so.

Top of the quickly liquidising clubs are Ebbsfleet whose innovative democratic internet ownership scheme has been going belly-up for a while and is reaching critical mass stage now. A hunderd thous pounds and is needed urgently to keep the club afloat into the new year and subscribers reluctant to find even another tenner and deserting the ship as intelligent rats always do.

On the field, Ebbsfleet have been reflecting this demise all season. They must visit the Kitkat on Saturday where the Minstermen are rampant. In particular Richard Brodie is on fire following his one man demolition of Crewe Alexandra in the cup. He bagged a quick hat-trick to sink Chester on Tuesday night. His team mates are [1.36] to sink the Fleet and that's the first leg and the cornerstone of the treble.

The second side dissolving faster than sugar in tea are Histon following entrepreneur and manager's mentor Gareth Baldwin's departure after an attack of the Guillain Barre virus. More seriously perhaps, Lisa Baldwin, the lady who made the tea and smiled at everyone who visited, has also downed spoons.The players - all the best ones anyway - are looking for other clubs. Josh Simpson already gone to Peterborough, Hudson-Odoi out on loan at Gillingham and most seriously, Lanre Oyebanjo,Danny Wright and Nathaniel Knight-Percival spending this week on trial elsewhere.

Steve Fallon might be a magician of a manger but a tricky visit to Rushden & Diamonds where Lee Tomlin is still in excellent form and Aaron O'Connor is scoring for fun is likely to be a bit too much. Especially as right hand man John Beck is also now absent without leave. Rushden look a good price to me at [2.09] in the Betfair multiple and are a solid second leg.

I toyed with a value third leg in Mansfield about whom there are also whispers of financial crisis. They must visit Crawley who might be as big as [2.75] to win, which is a whopper of a price really considering their 66% strike rate at home this season. The Stags are still an in-form team though despite their tame 1-1 draws in the last two games. They won four out of five before that which is inconclusive for me in the meltdown stakes.

I prefer therefore the final leg of Luton at [1.75] to marmalise Grays who have won just one in their last six and only two home games all season. Meltdown has been season long in Essex and the Hatters are now beginning to stabilise under the influence of Money and Brabin. The Rochdale replay win was significant and I don't expect fatigue or complacency to be factors in a clinical dismissal on Saturday.

The Betfair multiple odds were [5.1] when I factored midweek and are better than any I could get at bookmakers anywhere else in the country.
(613 words)

The Boz's weekend multimiple bet:

York to beat Ebbsfleet at around [1.36]
Rushden & Diamonds to beat Histon at around [2.09]
Luton to beat Grays at around [1.75]
Combined odds should row in at around [5.1]

The Boz is currently running at a P/L figure of -6.01 to level stakes for the 09/10 season on match betting having closed his recommended BSP outrights portfolio satchel with a minimum +9 point profit on all teams.

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