Betfair Official Blog

Total Goals Guys

Difficult times on the goals front

The "Total Goals Guys" miss out this weekend and just hope they can finish the season in the black...

Our form is taking on a bit of a yo-yo effect in the closing weeks of the season. Two weeks ago the balance dropped 38% one week after a 19% increase. Last week saw a rise of 39% but this has been compounded by a weekend loss of 30%.

Things were going quite smoothly as of 5pm on Saturday. We opposed 4 goal backers in Reading's trip to the Emirates with a lay price of [2.99] and it was looking shaky with 3 goals or more hitting a low of [1.2] when Gilberto Silva made it 2-0 to The Gunners on 38 minutes. No further goals were to be scored however and it was a solid a start to the weekend.

It was all downhill from here however as next up was Manchester United's visit to Ewood Park. We fancied 3 goals or more in this one and in-play traders who initially backed 3 or more at [1.94] would have been delighted to have seen Roque Santa Cruz open the scoring after 21 minutes thus reducing the in-play price to [1.48]. With United chasing the championship 3 goal backers were in a good position but it would have been the traders smarting after this one as a late Carlos Tevez header could only salvage a 1-1 draw.

It was hoped that Barcelona and Espanyol could save our weekend. 3 goals or more in this one could have been the difference between a loss of £33.53 and a £7.67 gain but all the sides could muster was a 0-0 draw that all but ends Barca's hopes of winning a domestic trophy this season. Maybe we shouldn't have relied so much on two sides who were both so out of sorts. We applied a little of the "must win, will win" mentality to this particular one at the weekend and we certainly paid the price.

With 3 weeks of betting remaining in this experiment we will need to avoid such notions. A betting bank of £78.45 isn't what we envisaged at this stage back in August and at the very least we will be aiming to finish the season in the black.