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Michael Vaughan: Toss the key in 3rd ODI clash

MS Dhoni led his side to an impressive win in the second ODI

"If England win the toss and bat, they're definitely worth a back-to-lay at 2.47/5, but if India bat first it's Dhoni's men all the way."

After correctly calling the outcome in the first two one-day internationals, Michael Vaughan is going for the hat-trick in Ranchi but is keen to wait for the toss before making his call. England's only hope is batting first, he warns...


It was a comfortable victory for India in Rajkot with the pitch better suited to their game. There was more turn and they took the pace out of wicket, meaning England couldn't get easy runs by knocking the ball around.

I'm expecting a similar pitch in Ranchi - and for the remaining games. With conditions in their favour, as well as momentum, you can see why India are strong favourites on the Betfair market, currently trading at around 1.75/7. Once they get into a rhythm on home soil they are hard to stop.

The toss will be vitally important once again. Getting runs on the board is they key to success - you could see how difficult it was for England to chase 280 in Rajkot and they fell badly short in the end.

The bowlers took a pasting towards the end of the innings and that death bowling would be a bit of a worry. I think they only got two yorkers in during the whole innings. Jade Dernbach went for a few, but I still think he's a good option. You'll have to accept he'll go for runs, but he's a match winner.

It's not a panic situation for England. You'll have to expect a few beatings like that with such an inexperienced side and with the quality batsmen they have in the side they'll always stand a chance, if they can get a score on the board.

If England win the toss and bat, they're definitely worth a back-to-lay at 2.47/5, but if India bat first it's Dhoni's men all the way.

We're in Dhoni's backyard now, so the temptation would be to back the Indian captain for top runscorer (available under Any Other Batsman at 4.3100/30 with Jadeja thrown in for luck!) but I'm sticking with Mr Consistent, Gautam Gambhir, trading at 5.04/1.

As for England, and sticking with my policy of focusing on the top three, I'll go for Kevin Pietersen at 4.57/2. Eoin Morgan is normally worth considering in these markets, but he seems out of nick right now, and KP tends to get at least one big score.


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18 January 2013

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